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View Poll Results: Next US President
Trump 3 30.00%
Biden 2 20.00%
Election postponed/other 0 0%
Results contested for weeks, Trump/Biden both claim victory. 5 50.00%
Voters: 10. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 13-10-2020, 11:29   #1
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Default US 2020

Who will win?
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Old 13-10-2020, 12:21   #2
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Biden, obv.
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Old 13-10-2020, 12:40   #3
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Biden but Trump will have a fucking meltdown and I expect some violence
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Old 13-10-2020, 12:55   #4
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It is looking good for him, 10% leads in some swing states, even Georgia is possible. Texas would be fucking lol as well.

Everyone is sceptical because they said this sort of stuff before with Clinton but pollsters adamant they've adjusted their models since and, if anything, could be overcounting Trump supporters.

The big difference I've noticed as well is that last time democrats had started to get a little over confident at this point, Clinton was even talking like Trump was a busted flush, not going to discuss him any more etc. This time it's the opposite, they don't seem to be taking anything for granted.

Personally I think it'll be really close whoever wins, probably under 300 college votes for the winner. Biden is clearly seen as better than Clinton but he's still not exactly great, if nothing else he really does look old and frail. He should have been the candidate after Obama, that was his best time. He's aged really noticeably since then.
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Old 13-10-2020, 18:45   #5
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Even the 2016 result wasn't inconsistent with the polls. Sure, Trump had an unlikely route to victory, which was why 538 had Clinton as a 95% chance. But that's still a 1 in 20 shot. By no means certain.

But if the polls stay like this you'll see Biden at 99%.
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Old 13-10-2020, 18:59   #6
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I seem to remember 270toWin also calculated his path via certain states and their polling basically ruled out 3 key states, Ohio and others, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania I think, which they said kills his hope of winning as there's no other path for him to take if those stay blue. They "generously" assumed he may get 1/3 in their simulations and still said it merely delays Clinton's victory time. He flipped all 3. These were 3-5% leads in the states right before election night. They were all in the margin of error yes, but only just and of course it also mean the error was the same each time, overstating Clinton's support rather than Trump's.

Latest poll shows a 14% national lead to Biden, if that sort of swing is carried through state level Trump will be buried, it's like 400+ electoral votes to Biden, complete landslide. I just can't see it. Would be funny as fuck to watch though.
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Old 13-10-2020, 21:08   #7
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if its postal voting biden will win
thats the whole point of corona
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Old 14-10-2020, 06:45   #8
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Trump

Because he’s RWSF and you just gotta look at how we’ve owned the last 3 years, despite the left trying everything they can to defraud and manipulate
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Old 14-10-2020, 11:12   #9
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Owned the last three years = losing the white house and Senate, meaning everything's gonna get overturned.
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Old 14-10-2020, 12:02   #10
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What has Trump actually done other than piss off the libs or just try to trash Obama's accomplishments? He's moaning it's all been unfair but he is a republican president with a republican senate and up until 2018, a republican house as well. To get nothing but a corporate tax cut done in that time is pretty lazy, especially when previous presidents (dem and rep) have accomplished far more without those majorities. The tax cut wasn't even his accomplishment either, it was Paul Ryan's. He did all the work and Trump just signed it thinking it was a healthcare plan.

In a way it's a good thing he's pissed away his time on twitter and the golf course, A Pence/Gingrich/etc administration with the same majorities would have probably cemented a lot more conservative stuff. Now they face the last 4 years being washed away quite easily. Can see why some Republican voters say he isn't really one of them and have had enough.
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