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Old 24-05-2021, 10:53   #11
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European Farmer Leagues

Norway eliteserien (premier league)

Brann vs Bodo Glimt

Bodo are the monsters of Norwegian football and their style of play is similar to Leeds under Bielsa; all out attack and to hell with the risk. Bodo overload their opponents and outscore them as much as humanly possible.

They won last years league comfortably and this season is underway already with a strong start. Brann on the other hand are off to a rotten start, losing all 4 matches of the season so far, and losing them badly too.

Despite this the odds of a Bodo win are priced well, 1.7 on BF exchange. Combine over 1.5 goals and a Bodo win and you'll get just under evens on sportsbooks but use your own judgement.

If you prefer to be safer, but far less return, a double chance of Bodo or draw and over 1.5 or 2.5 goals depending on the price you can get. Not worth it IMO unless you want to wait and see if Brann score first to make the odds length to something valuable.

Bodo to win and over 1.5 goals or just a Bodo win if you can get good odds.

Swedish allsvenskan

Orebro v Malmo FF

Basically Malmo dominate (they won last year) but their defence is porous. They concede at least one in almost every game. Similar to Man Utd where BTTS and Utd to win has had a huge amount of value this season. Malmo are the Swedish alternative. So it's BTTS on these and BTTS with Malmo to win if you want to push the boat out but a little risky.

BTTS
or
Spicier: BTTS and Malmo to win



18+ Don't gamble responsibly. Put as much as possible on the bets lol.
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Last edited by Malcolm Tucker; 24-05-2021 at 10:57.
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Old 24-05-2021, 18:51   #12
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Bodo to win and over 1.5 goals. (Or if you'd opted for Double chance and over 1.5 or 2.5 those would have landed too so all combinations of this bet came in)

Win
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Old 24-05-2021, 18:54   #13
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Orebro v Malmo FF
BTTS

Win

Still over 20 minutes to go in this so Malmo to win and BTTS still in play if you went for riskier version but the recommend bet has come in. 2/2 today.
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Old 24-05-2021, 19:21   #14
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Malmo win and BTTS also lands.

No bets tomorrow, back Wednesday for Europa final.
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Old 26-05-2021, 15:36   #15
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Europa League Final

Man Utd vs Villareal

Judging by the replies you're all absolutely buzzing for more so here we go. Utd are poised to claim their first major trophy in 4 years. Their last one was also the Europa, under Jose Mourinho.

Ole has settled into the Utd job now after a little bit of consternation, and the club clearly thinks it's time for trophies, starting with this one. Utd's squad is excellent on paper, they have a powerful midfield and huge array of attacking options. It's what's powered them to 2nd in the league, coming from behind to win so often in what must be record breaking point reversals. Without such an array of talent up front they'd have languished much lower in the table and Ole would be out on his scandanavian arse months ago.

Europa league should be a walk in the park for them. A loss here tonight will cast fresh doubt on Utd's ability to remain consistent enough overall to win a knock out tournament. They've made it to the final though and were in a position to rotate on the final day of the league, giving Ole a strong team at his disposal to go all out. It's their game to lose.

The major issue for them is their back line. Maguire, love or loathe him, is the central plank of their defence which even with him is not that tight. Without him they seem even more vulnerable. It's what will make Villareal believe they have a good chance tonight.

Villareal are clearly the underdogs, but their manager Emery is a Europa league veteran. Unlike Ole he's got a poorer squad to overperform and relied on tactics rather than raw talent to get them to the final. They will be focusing on Maguire's absence and will plan to keep it tight, and nick a goal or two on the counter.

Therefore my tip is to avoid betting on the result, cup finals upend conventional form, the pressure is on the favourites and underdogs are at liberty to enjoy it more, treat it as a free hit and this often translates into a good performance (How many people backed Chelsea to win the FA cup the other week? )

So, here's my selections:

BTTS - Obvious. Utd leak goals. They also score them. The ideal course of events will be Villareal taking an early lead.

Penalty awarded? Yes It's Man Utd ffs, in a cup final, against a team that will be keeping it tight. The penalty area will be congested and there's likely to be an error. You can lengthen the odds by going for Utd to be the team to be awarded one, but the value in any penalty is high enough IMO.

Fernandes and Cavani 1+ shot on target each Put these as a double to get to odds of about evens. Goals or not these two will take direct chances the most.
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Old 27-05-2021, 08:07   #16
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Did they get their shots on target? Shots on target is FUCKING RETARDED because they use ridiculous rules for it. Has to be a goalkeeper save... if the ball is definitely going in the goal and an outfield player blocks it on the line that doesn't count as a shot on target lel .
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Old 27-05-2021, 18:57   #17
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Lol Utd. BTTS landed but they were absolutely appalling, deserved to lose. 1 shot on target all game and that was Cavani's goal.

SoT is quite simple, if the shot is heading for the goal and there's 1 obstacle that can prevent it, whether the obstacle is successful or not, it's on target and the bet settles. Blocks don't count because an outfield player blocking it doesn't mean they stopped it going in, unless they were the last line of defence of course.

See what I mean about cup finals though? The amount of money pouring into a Utd win was mad on the exchange, absolute bottlers. Ole's fault mostly, yes Fernandes and Rashford were shit, so why not hook them at 60-70 mins? He made no subs until 100th minute ffs. He has no strategy beyond sticking his best players on and hoping for the best, and when his "best" is already on he has no idea what to do if they're not winning.
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Old 27-05-2021, 22:53   #18
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But with shots on target it’s retarded an outfield player can make an heroic goal line block and it not count as a shot on target. That’s dumb imo.

Yeah no subs until that late was retarded. Embarrassing they created so little. Hugely expensive squad and a massive wage bill playing against PL rejects. Think that’s no cup/title for five years. I know they finished second this year but could be fucked next year if others sort their shit out as the chasing bunch weren’t that far behind in the end… and they only did so well because eg. Fernandes had a season which’ll be difficult to repeat.
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Old 27-05-2021, 23:19   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Moses View Post
But with shots on target it?s retarded an outfield player can make an heroic goal line block and it not count as a shot on target. That?s dumb imo.
No, if a player was the last man and it'd go in otherwise, it'd be a shot on target. If it's blocked by a player while the goalkeeper is on his line waiting also then it's just a block.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Moses View Post
Yeah no subs until that late was retarded. Embarrassing they created so little. Hugely expensive squad and a massive wage bill playing against PL rejects. Think that?s no cup/title for five years. I know they finished second this year but could be fucked next year if others sort their shit out as the chasing bunch weren?t that far behind in the end? and they only did so well because eg. Fernandes had a season which?ll be difficult to repeat.
Utd fan on the radio this morning was unreal. Backs Ole and believes they're just "3, 4, 5 major signings from challenging... we need Grealish, Sancho, Kane, Ruben Dias.. maybe Mbappe"

Right, yes, that's like fucking half a billion quid ffs. Fuck me, a bucket with face painted on it could be the manager with that squad then and still win something. If I was Utd board, I'd be looking to get Poch before any new signings. The squad isn't that bad, it just needs a decent manager. Ole can be the drinks boy.
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Old 28-05-2021, 00:34   #20
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I’ll take your word for it but thought SkyBet had ridiculously restrictive rules on that and goals which were clearly going in but for the outfield block hadn’t counted etc. Always used to avoid that and offsides - the latter because of how they’d often not flag and everyone would kinda accept it’s offside with the attacking team giving up etc… but technically not flagged so not offside.

Yeah they’re mental. And deluded if they think they can get the best players. It’s like when Ramos flirted with them just to get a better deal with Real. Realistically who the fuck would go to United if they had the option of going to one of the elite clubs who can pay about as much anyway? They only get linked with big players so they can get better deals.

The only big move that’s realistic is Kane. As I’m not sure if he’d go abroad and guess he desperately wants the EPL goals record… and reckon Real/Barca would prefer Mbappe/Haaland tbh… so that means he’d have to move to United/City/Chelsea so United have a chance.
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