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Old 15-06-2021, 21:06   #31
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Germany have been remarkably shit the last few months. I think they are going to have a shit run and go home at the group stages
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Old 16-06-2021, 09:24   #32
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Rudiger did everything he could to get booked, including biting a player in front of a linesman but ok, no card.

Based on both matches I think Portugal and Germany are fairly matched, it'll be a good game to watch, right after England as well
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Old 22-06-2021, 13:22   #33
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England Vs Czech
There's free bets and promos on this one as its England but tbh, go with whatever you want, hard game to tip, no skin in the game for either really. England are saying they aim to win to go top of the group, but they have to say that. Many believe they're far better off finishing 2nd and facing an easier fixture in L16. Personally I don't think it makes much difference, if group F teams are as good as feared you have to face them eventually. By avoiding them for as long as possible instils negativity and lowers confidence in the players for when they eventually do meet them IMO. But nobody really knows what they'll be thinking, there's equal cases to be made for a low intensity overly defensive draw, or a confidence building 90mins full of flare players and goals. SG will probably rotate quite a bit, bringing in Maguire and Henderson for at least 60 mins and using all sub options. Tipping for goals or shots therefore is a minefield.

Scotland vs Croatia
This will be the one to watch, if you're not religious about watching England play. It's a must win for Scotland if they want to qualify. They're actually yet to score this competition and another draw will do them no good.

Croatia also need to win, with plenty of goals if possible. So it's poised really nicely for neither team being able to sit back and relax.

Despite the Scot's optimism and the uplift they got from holding England to a draw at Wembley, I think they're going out tonight. Croatia have not had a good run so far, but they have a lot of experience in the squad that will find ways past Scotland and record their first win. I just can't see the likes of Modric and Perrisic going out with a whimper.

Scotland are also now without Gilmour, arguably their best player and will lose even more creativity in front of goal. So:

- Croatia to win
- Over 2.5 yellow cards

Best of luck and fuck off
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Last edited by Malcolm Tucker; 22-06-2021 at 13:27.
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Old 22-06-2021, 13:44   #34
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Malcolm Tucker View Post
England Vs Czech
There's free bets and promos on this one as its England but tbh, go with whatever you want, hard game to tip, no skin in the game for either really. England are saying they aim to win to go top of the group, but they have to say that. Many believe they're far better off finishing 2nd and facing an easier fixture in L16. Personally I don't think it makes much difference, if group F teams are as good as feared you have to face them eventually. By avoiding them for as long as possible instils negativity and lowers confidence in the players for when they eventually do meet them IMO. But nobody really knows what they'll be thinking, there's equal cases to be made for a low intensity overly defensive draw, or a confidence building 90mins full of flare players and goals. SG will probably rotate quite a bit, bringing in Maguire and Henderson for at least 60 mins and using all sub options. Tipping for goals or shots therefore is a minefield.

Scotland vs Croatia
This will be the one to watch, if you're not religious about watching England play. It's a must win for Scotland if they want to qualify. They're actually yet to score this competition and another draw will do them no good.

Croatia also need to win, with plenty of goals if possible. So it's poised really nicely for neither team being able to sit back and relax.

Despite the Scot's optimism and the uplift they got from holding England to a draw at Wembley, I think they're going out tonight. Croatia have not had a good run so far, but they have a lot of experience in the squad that will find ways past Scotland and record their first win. I just can't see the likes of Modric and Perrisic going out with a whimper.

Scotland are also now without Gilmour, arguably their best player and will lose even more creativity in front of goal. So:

- Croatia to win
- Over 2.5 yellow cards

Best of luck and fuck off
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Old 22-06-2021, 14:15   #35
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just put 5000 danish kronkos on Croatia to win idiot
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Old 23-06-2021, 09:29   #36
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Croatia smash it, with Modric and Perisic indeed the ones to send the Scotch home. Sadly the card bet was short by one yellow.
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Old 23-06-2021, 16:08   #37
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Last group games and it's looking interesting, no game left has anyone already eliminated, so every fixture has a team who will need to press and open up.

Slovakia v Spain
Spain need a win. Simple as that. In what should have been a relatively straightforward group to progress from has turned into genuine possibility of crashing out. However, like Croatia did, they'll put in the performance tonight. There isn't much value in a straight win for Spain, as they're clear favourites despite drawing in low scoring matches before this. Instead I'd go for a Spain with over 1.5 match goals. Meaning it needs to be at least 2 nil to Spain, or 2-1, 3-0 etc.

Sweden v Poland
Interesting one here, Sweden are already through but Poland need a win, nothing else will keep them in contention and I do think they'll just nick it. Either Poland to win or if you want shorter but safer odds do DNB or DC on Poland/draw.

Germany vs Hungary
I'm going to stick my neck out on this one, it's a longshot, but I think Hungary could pull off an upset. Germany are without Muller and I'm not fully convinced they're reborn just yet. Keep your stake Low (lol) on this one as you should be getting 13-16 odds on a Hungary win. A little safer bet is Hungary to score 1+ goals.

Portugal vs France
Let's keep this one simple. Jota to have 1+ shots on target and Mbappe to score. France are already through but I cannot see them holding anything back tonight either. Topping the group means they'll face a third ranked team, which they must fancy.

Best of luck and fuck off.
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Old 25-06-2021, 16:03   #38
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Spain smashed it and Hungary looked like they may pull off that upset, not a bad shout but just wasn't quite to be, same with Poland, pegged them back for a draw but got owned last minute.

Last 16 should be easier to tip as long as you avoid some pitfalls

Wales vs Denmark
I'll be rooting for Wales but, objectively, I just can't see it. Bale, James and Ramsey carry the entire team and despite an impressive group stage, I think this is the end of the road. However, remember these are the knockouts now so it's ET and penalties, Wales will go for a draw in 90 mins if it's anywhere within reach for them so there's really good odds on Denmark to win in 90, I think the bookies know something, sportsbook riding a little higher than the exchange. Usually means a stat is indicating slightly higher chance that Denmark won't get the job done in the 90 and will make the kill in ET or during the shootout. So a safer bet is Denmark to go through to the next round, this settles no matter the method of victory. Add in 1.5 match goals to get some value.

Italy vs Austria
Skip it on its own. Italy have excelled so far and it'd be a huge shock for Austria to derail them. There's no value bets I can see, maybe Italy to win to nil but I hate that market, one silly OG or unfair penalty goal in an otherwise dominant performance does you in.

Instead combine Italy for a double, Denmark and Italy to both qualify. I can get 1.7 which I think is just about worth it for two relatively solid bets.

So either one or both of those selections is my choice. Stfu and good luck.
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Old 26-06-2021, 20:49   #39
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Quote:
Denmark to go through to the next round, this settles no matter the method of victory. Add in 1.5 match goals
Done, easily in the end.

On the double just need Italy to do the business on Austria for a clean sweep.
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Old 26-06-2021, 22:34   #40
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