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Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 14:07
I'm not bad at this but don't blame me if you lose money, more fun than bitcoin lately anyway :loool:

Premier league final day, put them on as builders, singles, whatever you want. Obviously don't put anything on until the line ups are actually out as you never know.

Lec vs Spurs

I support Tottenham but today could be bad for them, Leicester are flying high at the moment and could end their season with a top 4 finish if they win today. Spurs on the other hand are in a miserable state and have very little to play for. Europa conference league is best they'll get and that's only if West Ham lose. It seems nailed on for Leicester to win, but there is a caveat. Kane has asked to leave in the summer and this could be his last game in that shirt, he's also neck and neck with Salah for the golden boot. He is a consummate professional so regardless of Spurs in general he could be in the mood today to finish on a high. Even though I think Leicester will win, a safer bet feels like BTTS.

Fulham vs Newcastle

Neither have anything to play for, but Joe Willock is on fire and will be eager to score again. Either go for him to score any time or slightly less return, a shot on target which is priced at 1.9 on most bookies so not bad at all.

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

Liverpool could coast to 4th place by doing very little and hoping Spurs surprise everyone but Klopp is unlikely to take that chance, Liverpool will go all out today. Palace on the other hand will not be in the mood for an intense finish, Hodgson has had enough, more than half the team is end of contract and they're in no mans land in the league, well out of any relegation danger and not in the running for any european spots so the players will want to come out unscathed for their potential new suiters in the window. In summary, Liverpool will pump them today, go for Liverpool to win and over 1.5 goals or over 2.5 if you're feeling braver.

Others to consider:

Chelsea vs Villa

Villa defeated Spurs in their last game but that says more about a listless Tottenhan as it does a return to form for Villa. Grealish is still not fit for 90 mins and is unlikely to make much impact against a well discplined Chelsea side who know they cannot afford to lose this with Liverpool Leicester both poised to overtake them at the finish line should they drop the points. Despite the stakes, the game will be low scoring, Martinez is a very good goalkeeper and Chelsea despite their robust defence are not clinical at finishing, with 50m star striker Werner more likely to put the ball in the car park than the back of the net. Go for under 2.5 goals and add in Chelsea to win if you want added spice.

Wolves vs Man Utd

Nuno is fucking off, Wolves have struggled to score, and Utd are locked in for 2nd. With Maguire out their defence seems far less confident. Who knew having a fridge on the pitch was such an advantage. Their Europa final is in 3 days so Ole should rotate quite significantly, affording Wolves an opportunity to rebuild their confidence a bit by taking 2nd in the league to task at home. Everything points to Wolves nicking a win here but I think they'll be too much of a mess to capitalise. Utd's weaker 11 is also dogshit. Ole could put out his best after 70mins if its dead but he really shouldn't, he'd be risking injuries to his best for points they don't need. A bore draw suits them. Therefore this is a score bet, 0-0.

City vs Everton

Aguero to score. Almost certainly his last game for City (can't see him making an appearance at UCL final outside of an attacking emergency) and it's at home, meaning a send off. What better way than to try and score one last goal and I think Pep will give him that chance. Only his fitness will preclude him from starting.

Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 16:55
HT update

Lec vs Spurs - BTTS. Win. The bet landed by Kane, who else?
Fulham vs Newcastle - Willock to score. Win - if you went for shot on target that obviously also won.


Liverpool vs Crystal Palace - So far so good.

Chelsea vs Villa - Spicy version of this bet is dead as Chelsea coming back would put us over 2.5, but otherwise the bet is still landing as it stands, but tbh it's hard to see Chelsea not ramping up massively next half.

Wolves vs Man Utd finish as 0-0 - Lost

City vs Everton - Aguero to score. Void as it stands as no start from Aguero. Very likely to be subbed on though in second half.

Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 17:34
City vs Everton - Aguero to score. Void as it stands as no start from Aguero. Very likely to be subbed on though in second half.

Won. Subbed on and scores 5 minutes later.

Chelsea fighting back and take it over 2.5 so that one is lost.

Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 17:35
and Liverpool bet is now landing as it stands.

Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 17:38
Won. Subbed on and scores 5 minutes later.

Scores again just to make sure :hehe:

Frank Castle
23-05-2021, 18:00
Wolves defo relegated next season:rofl:

Malcolm Tucker
23-05-2021, 18:01
Liverpool to win and over 1.5 goals
Win

So 4 out of 6 wins, which means a decent profit especially as the goalscorer bets landed which had longest odds :thumbs:

Frank Castle
23-05-2021, 18:01
Lost one of the best managers in the world, gonna do a stoke ��

Frank Castle
23-05-2021, 18:40
And loooool at the racist bastards having a fan arrested, all on national tv

Relegated

Trump is buying United btw

Frank Castle
23-05-2021, 18:41
Just to complete visages ownage :rofl:

Is his wife on fb btw ?

Malcolm Tucker
24-05-2021, 10:53
European Farmer Leagues

Norway eliteserien (premier league)

Brann vs Bodo Glimt

Bodo are the monsters of Norwegian football and their style of play is similar to Leeds under Bielsa; all out attack and to hell with the risk. Bodo overload their opponents and outscore them as much as humanly possible.

They won last years league comfortably and this season is underway already with a strong start. Brann on the other hand are off to a rotten start, losing all 4 matches of the season so far, and losing them badly too.

Despite this the odds of a Bodo win are priced well, 1.7 on BF exchange. Combine over 1.5 goals and a Bodo win and you'll get just under evens on sportsbooks but use your own judgement.

If you prefer to be safer, but far less return, a double chance of Bodo or draw and over 1.5 or 2.5 goals depending on the price you can get. Not worth it IMO unless you want to wait and see if Brann score first to make the odds length to something valuable.

Bodo to win and over 1.5 goals or just a Bodo win if you can get good odds.

Swedish allsvenskan

Orebro v Malmo FF

Basically Malmo dominate (they won last year) but their defence is porous. They concede at least one in almost every game. Similar to Man Utd where BTTS and Utd to win has had a huge amount of value this season. Malmo are the Swedish alternative. So it's BTTS on these and BTTS with Malmo to win if you want to push the boat out but a little risky.

BTTS
or
Spicier: BTTS and Malmo to win



18+ Don't gamble responsibly. Put as much as possible on the bets lol.

Malcolm Tucker
24-05-2021, 18:51
Bodo to win and over 1.5 goals. (Or if you'd opted for Double chance and over 1.5 or 2.5 those would have landed too so all combinations of this bet came in)

Win

Malcolm Tucker
24-05-2021, 18:54
Orebro v Malmo FF
BTTS

Win

Still over 20 minutes to go in this so Malmo to win and BTTS still in play if you went for riskier version but the recommend bet has come in. 2/2 today.

Malcolm Tucker
24-05-2021, 19:21
Malmo win and BTTS also lands. :sv:

No bets tomorrow, back Wednesday for Europa final.

Malcolm Tucker
26-05-2021, 15:36
Europa League Final

Man Utd vs Villareal

Judging by the replies you're all absolutely buzzing for more so here we go. Utd are poised to claim their first major trophy in 4 years. Their last one was also the Europa, under Jose Mourinho.

Ole has settled into the Utd job now after a little bit of consternation, and the club clearly thinks it's time for trophies, starting with this one. Utd's squad is excellent on paper, they have a powerful midfield and huge array of attacking options. It's what's powered them to 2nd in the league, coming from behind to win so often in what must be record breaking point reversals. Without such an array of talent up front they'd have languished much lower in the table and Ole would be out on his scandanavian arse months ago.

Europa league should be a walk in the park for them. A loss here tonight will cast fresh doubt on Utd's ability to remain consistent enough overall to win a knock out tournament. They've made it to the final though and were in a position to rotate on the final day of the league, giving Ole a strong team at his disposal to go all out. It's their game to lose.

The major issue for them is their back line. Maguire, love or loathe him, is the central plank of their defence which even with him is not that tight. Without him they seem even more vulnerable. It's what will make Villareal believe they have a good chance tonight.

Villareal are clearly the underdogs, but their manager Emery is a Europa league veteran. Unlike Ole he's got a poorer squad to overperform and relied on tactics rather than raw talent to get them to the final. They will be focusing on Maguire's absence and will plan to keep it tight, and nick a goal or two on the counter.

Therefore my tip is to avoid betting on the result, cup finals upend conventional form, the pressure is on the favourites and underdogs are at liberty to enjoy it more, treat it as a free hit and this often translates into a good performance (How many people backed Chelsea to win the FA cup the other week? :loool:)

So, here's my selections:

BTTS - Obvious. Utd leak goals. They also score them. The ideal course of events will be Villareal taking an early lead.

Penalty awarded? Yes It's Man Utd ffs, in a cup final, against a team that will be keeping it tight. The penalty area will be congested and there's likely to be an error. You can lengthen the odds by going for Utd to be the team to be awarded one, but the value in any penalty is high enough IMO.

Fernandes and Cavani 1+ shot on target each Put these as a double to get to odds of about evens. Goals or not these two will take direct chances the most.

Moses
27-05-2021, 08:07
Did they get their shots on target? Shots on target is FUCKING RETARDED because they use ridiculous rules for it. Has to be a goalkeeper save... if the ball is definitely going in the goal and an outfield player blocks it on the line that doesn't count as a shot on target lel :chin:.

Malcolm Tucker
27-05-2021, 18:57
Lol Utd. BTTS landed but they were absolutely appalling, deserved to lose. 1 shot on target all game and that was Cavani's goal.

SoT is quite simple, if the shot is heading for the goal and there's 1 obstacle that can prevent it, whether the obstacle is successful or not, it's on target and the bet settles. Blocks don't count because an outfield player blocking it doesn't mean they stopped it going in, unless they were the last line of defence of course.

See what I mean about cup finals though? The amount of money pouring into a Utd win was mad on the exchange, absolute bottlers. Ole's fault mostly, yes Fernandes and Rashford were shit, so why not hook them at 60-70 mins? He made no subs until 100th minute ffs. He has no strategy beyond sticking his best players on and hoping for the best, and when his "best" is already on he has no idea what to do if they're not winning.

Moses
27-05-2021, 22:53
But with shots on target it’s retarded an outfield player can make an heroic goal line block and it not count as a shot on target. That’s dumb imo.

Yeah no subs until that late was retarded. Embarrassing they created so little. Hugely expensive squad and a massive wage bill playing against PL rejects. Think that’s no cup/title for five years. I know they finished second this year but could be fucked next year if others sort their shit out as the chasing bunch weren’t that far behind in the end… and they only did so well because eg. Fernandes had a season which’ll be difficult to repeat.

Malcolm Tucker
27-05-2021, 23:19
But with shots on target it?s retarded an outfield player can make an heroic goal line block and it not count as a shot on target. That?s dumb imo.

No, if a player was the last man and it'd go in otherwise, it'd be a shot on target. If it's blocked by a player while the goalkeeper is on his line waiting also then it's just a block.


Yeah no subs until that late was retarded. Embarrassing they created so little. Hugely expensive squad and a massive wage bill playing against PL rejects. Think that?s no cup/title for five years. I know they finished second this year but could be fucked next year if others sort their shit out as the chasing bunch weren?t that far behind in the end? and they only did so well because eg. Fernandes had a season which?ll be difficult to repeat.

Utd fan on the radio this morning was unreal. Backs Ole and believes they're just "3, 4, 5 major signings from challenging... we need Grealish, Sancho, Kane, Ruben Dias.. maybe Mbappe" :rofl:

Right, yes, that's like fucking half a billion quid ffs. Fuck me, a bucket with face painted on it could be the manager with that squad then and still win something. If I was Utd board, I'd be looking to get Poch before any new signings. The squad isn't that bad, it just needs a decent manager. Ole can be the drinks boy.

Moses
28-05-2021, 00:34
I’ll take your word for it but thought SkyBet had ridiculously restrictive rules on that and goals which were clearly going in but for the outfield block hadn’t counted etc. Always used to avoid that and offsides - the latter because of how they’d often not flag and everyone would kinda accept it’s offside with the attacking team giving up etc… but technically not flagged so not offside.

Yeah they’re mental. And deluded if they think they can get the best players. It’s like when Ramos flirted with them just to get a better deal with Real. Realistically who the fuck would go to United if they had the option of going to one of the elite clubs who can pay about as much anyway? They only get linked with big players so they can get better deals.

The only big move that’s realistic is Kane. As I’m not sure if he’d go abroad and guess he desperately wants the EPL goals record… and reckon Real/Barca would prefer Mbappe/Haaland tbh… so that means he’d have to move to United/City/Chelsea so United have a chance.

Malcolm Tucker
28-05-2021, 01:16
Kane is fed up but 3 years on his contract so as much wanking as the pundits are doing about him going to City etc, it's hard to see a deal working. Levy will want 150m+, and as good as Kane is that's a lot to put on one player with ankles made of biscuits, it'd be fucking lol if someone new got him for 175m and match day 1 he's stretchered off for the rest of the season. :hehe: Man City would rather spread 175m on 3-4 players, or if you are going to drop it on one man, why not Haaland who's 8 years younger than Kane, so much more mileage there.

He says he had verbal agreement he can go any time, yeah right. He just wants decent players around him. I think his preference is to stay, but he has to kick up a fuss to get things moving. The fact he's talking to Gary Neville on the golf course, making headlines etc, but hasn't actually put in a proper transfer request shows you he respects the reality of his contract and unaffordable fee, but needs to turn up the heat a bit to get Levy to do anything.

They're not *that* far off, 2nd/3rd in the league a few years ago, UCL final, EFL final. They just need that last little push, recall their loan players for one thing. Jose put out Skipp and Foyth to "get experience" and they've gone off and won trophies with other teams while Spurs 1st team is getting crumbs with the new Europa QwikFit League spots. :rofl:

Moses
28-05-2021, 20:06
Yeah, City and Chelsea can probably go for more sensible options. Kane would be desperation from United (and desperation from him wanting out)… but like you say the roadblock is the money Levy would want and it’s not like Kane can threaten to sit out a year and go on a free.

Spurs can stay competitive for top four with Kane but City and Liverpool are clearly out ahead. Obvs Liverpool had a shit year but I think it’s reasonable to say they should bounce back when not having to play fifth choice CBs etc. Can see them both getting a ridiculous number of points next year.

Wonder if Pogba will fuck off :chin:.

Malcolm Tucker
29-05-2021, 19:01
Champions League Final

The big one, biggest prize in club football.

City are obviously the bookies favourites and for good reason, they have the better team and on their day they're pretty much unplayable. They did an absolute masterclass over PSG in the semi, not once but twice, showing just how much they want this. Premier league, EFL, FA Cup all great, but this one has eluded them. They should, in theory, leave it all out there tonight. If you look at the City line-up, Pep is fucking going for it, it's absolutely all out attack.

Chelsea have been rebooted under Tuchel, with a much more robust defence and overall better team discipline than anything they had under Lampard. It looked like their season was going nowhere despite spending around 200 million. Tuchel put them back into contention as a serious team to watch but they still have their moments, a slip-up against Villa on the final day nearly cost them top 4 and conceding 5 to West Brom is another example of how easily they can lose their composure. On the other hand, they seem to know how to handle Man City in particular, knocking them out of the FA Cup and beating them in the league.

Add all these things together and it's pretty much impossible to tip the result. It could easily be 5-0 Man City or 2-1 to Chelsea. Neither score line would surprise. So, like the Europa league final, avoid betting on the result. So what's on offer instead?

I'm going for a builder bet, Paddy Power are offering a free 5 quid one for new and existing customers and I imagine quite a few will tonight. The key is to not get too greedy with the odds. It's obviously no harm to stick a free bet on a 250/1 longshot but it simply won't come in while better thought out bets stand a better chance of landing and still netting you good money. Obviously this is far from a banker, wouldn't put real money on this one, but free bets on lower odds feel a little boring so it's still a bit of a punt.

Accumulator
Over 1.5 Goals - Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 3.5 Corners - Home Total Corners 3.5
Phil Foden - Player To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target
Kai Havertz - Player To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target
Riyad Mahrez - Player To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target
Kevin De Bruyne - Anytime Assist
Riyad Mahrez - Anytime Goalscorer

5 quid free bet returns over 100 quid if it lands.

Malcolm Tucker
07-06-2021, 18:26
DA EUROS

England to win?
England are favourites but the value is not there. They are well backed every tournament and this pushes their price down. Remember odds do not correlate with probability.

There is some merit to believing it's coming home, the squad is stacked, lots of our fixtures are 'home' at Wembley and confidence is high, 2018 WC was farthest they'd progressed in a long time and they're on a good run of wins in general. As I've said before, other teams are probably scared of our squad, but they're not scared of Gareth Safegate, who despite being urged to take the brakes off this year, will likely revert to type and play 6 at the back when the first real opposition turns up. Hopeful on being proven wrong but certainly not a good bet, save your money.

Spain to win
World champions France are probably the "real" favourites but I think they have a similar problem to England, a squad full of individual talent but not clicking as you'd expect at the moment. Early days of course, but they're in the group of death and an upset in just one of their group games could doom them. They'll be hoping Germany end up as shit as rumoured this year otherwise it's a three-way scrap between those two and Portugal.

So I'm tipping Spain, taking 0 Real Madrid players on the squad is a bold call but probably correct. Enrique is going by form and potential instead of just names. He does have some serious names in the squad anyway of course, which doesn't hurt. They're arguably in the easiest group as well, which should leave his side as one of the freshest by the knockouts. At 8/1 I think they're great value.

Harry Kane golden boot
Lukaki is also a good bet, with him popping up on the scoresheet frequently. Both him and Kane are penalty takers too, but something about England under Southgate means we get shit loads of penalties. We got two alone in the friendly this week. Grealish and Kane both draw fouls and with Kane being one of the most reliable penalty takers in the world I can see them being a penalty goal conversion machine and repeating his WC performance and edge it past Lukaku.

The other contenders aren't that appealing:

Lewandowski, scoring for Bayern and scoring for Poland are just worlds apart. He simply won't get the service, nor be in the tournament long enough to be in contention.

Mbappe is a serious talent but France often have a tug of war on who takes penalties, with Griezman, Benzema and even Pogba in the mix. I can see Mbappe losing a few goals to others whereas the only circumstance Kane won't be taking one is if he's not on the pitch. Same goes for open play, France's goals are unlikely to accumulate under one player, they could very well be the highest scoring team, but it'll be spread around a lot more than it will be for England.

Penaldo. Can never fully rule him out, but he's just not in form lately and seems a little run down. Got to remember he's 37 soon so that's hardly a criticism now, but I think his best days are behind him.

Bale. A sure starter for Wales and his goal:appearance ratio in premier league is actually 1st, which is an overlooked stat and makes him a dark horse, if only Wales could remain in the competition long enough for him to make a mark.

Werner. He will be on main scoring duty for Germany now that Muller is getting a little long in the tooth but he's had an appalling season for Chelsea in terms of goals, with some defensive midfielders with better goal/appearance ratios than him. One might think being in a German shirt will be different, but he recently snatched defeat from the jaws of victory for his national team too, missing absolute sitters, showing the Werner curse is not a Chelsea thing.

So I'd back Kane, 6/1 is good value. Especially if England reach at least the semis which most are expecting.

Malcolm Tucker
07-06-2021, 18:29
More specifics match day bets to come

yourmum
08-06-2021, 23:39
England will get spanked by Croatia in the opening game because they are shit. Harry Kane will limp off with another ankle injury and then not play another game so as to not jeopardise his 150 million move to Utd. Foden will get caught wanking southgate off in the showers..............

Malcolm Tucker
15-06-2021, 16:24
Right time to get stuck in.

Wolves vs Hungary

It's the opening game for group of death and pressure is immediately on, with France vs Germany coming up later this game is a must not lose for Portugal. Hungary is set to the whipping boy of the group and for good reason. They reached qualification via playoffs against minnows and their main man is injured. Obviously anything can happen but hard to see beyond a Portugal win here. Look at their line up, Jota, Ronaldo ,Silva, Fenandes, Dias. Hungary have a tough evening ahead.

CR7 is playing centre forward so I think he will actually be dropping back a bit to have chances outside the box, and letting Jota and Silva do runs in on the flanks.

I suggest going for a Portugal win, over 1.5 goals and Jota to have 1+ shots on target. He's a vicious little fucker for getting shots away, Wolves are such a weaker team for losing him but at least he's basically back with them for the summer. :hehe:

Malcolm Tucker
15-06-2021, 17:07
Jota shot on target done already, 4 minutes in.

Malcolm Tucker
15-06-2021, 18:53
Boom all 3 in, if you combined for a treble you should have got odds of about 2.4.

https://media0.giphy.com/media/26n6PuZLWc5SkQ7bq/200.gif

Malcolm Tucker
15-06-2021, 19:42
France vs Germany

Been looking at this one for a few minutes now and it's hard to tip. France have the better team IMO, but they've underperformed in the run up. A little like England do when you look at results compared to lineups, but I think they have far more to give than us and they could go up several gears easily tonight.

Germany aren't the giants they once were but shouldn't be underestimated, in fact their priced as favourites now since the lineups came out, albeit very narrowly. It could be because main striker Timo Werner has been dropped to the bench and Gnabry, Muller and Havertz are the front 3 which seems far more potent than Timmy Mallet up there by himself. Being at home won't hurt either.

It could go either way, a lot of activity on a low scoring draw but now Portugal have taken a lead with 3 goals on the board so both these pair will be acutely aware that Portugal will be hoping they draw, both will want to push for the win, so the game should open up. Not very confident on a result or goal numbers though.

Instead, looking at the formations I think Rudiger is going to be under the kosh from Mpabbe and Griezeman and will have to concede a few tactical fouls as the night goes on. He's good value at 5.0 for picking up a yellow. so I'm keeping it simple on a single for him to be carded.

yourmum
15-06-2021, 21:06
Germany have been remarkably shit the last few months. I think they are going to have a shit run and go home at the group stages

Malcolm Tucker
16-06-2021, 09:24
Rudiger did everything he could to get booked, including biting a player in front of a linesman but ok, no card. :ffspant:

Based on both matches I think Portugal and Germany are fairly matched, it'll be a good game to watch, right after England as well :wank:

Malcolm Tucker
22-06-2021, 13:22
England Vs Czech
There's free bets and promos on this one as its England but tbh, go with whatever you want, hard game to tip, no skin in the game for either really. England are saying they aim to win to go top of the group, but they have to say that. Many believe they're far better off finishing 2nd and facing an easier fixture in L16. Personally I don't think it makes much difference, if group F teams are as good as feared you have to face them eventually. By avoiding them for as long as possible instils negativity and lowers confidence in the players for when they eventually do meet them IMO. But nobody really knows what they'll be thinking, there's equal cases to be made for a low intensity overly defensive draw, or a confidence building 90mins full of flare players and goals. :shrug: SG will probably rotate quite a bit, bringing in Maguire and Henderson for at least 60 mins and using all sub options. Tipping for goals or shots therefore is a minefield.

Scotland vs Croatia
This will be the one to watch, if you're not religious about watching England play. It's a must win for Scotland if they want to qualify. They're actually yet to score this competition and another draw will do them no good.

Croatia also need to win, with plenty of goals if possible. So it's poised really nicely for neither team being able to sit back and relax.

Despite the Scot's optimism and the uplift they got from holding England to a draw at Wembley, I think they're going out tonight. Croatia have not had a good run so far, but they have a lot of experience in the squad that will find ways past Scotland and record their first win. I just can't see the likes of Modric and Perrisic going out with a whimper.

Scotland are also now without Gilmour, arguably their best player and will lose even more creativity in front of goal. So:

- Croatia to win
- Over 2.5 yellow cards

Best of luck and fuck off :thumbs:

Oswald
22-06-2021, 13:44
England Vs Czech
There's free bets and promos on this one as its England but tbh, go with whatever you want, hard game to tip, no skin in the game for either really. England are saying they aim to win to go top of the group, but they have to say that. Many believe they're far better off finishing 2nd and facing an easier fixture in L16. Personally I don't think it makes much difference, if group F teams are as good as feared you have to face them eventually. By avoiding them for as long as possible instils negativity and lowers confidence in the players for when they eventually do meet them IMO. But nobody really knows what they'll be thinking, there's equal cases to be made for a low intensity overly defensive draw, or a confidence building 90mins full of flare players and goals. :shrug: SG will probably rotate quite a bit, bringing in Maguire and Henderson for at least 60 mins and using all sub options. Tipping for goals or shots therefore is a minefield.

Scotland vs Croatia
This will be the one to watch, if you're not religious about watching England play. It's a must win for Scotland if they want to qualify. They're actually yet to score this competition and another draw will do them no good.

Croatia also need to win, with plenty of goals if possible. So it's poised really nicely for neither team being able to sit back and relax.

Despite the Scot's optimism and the uplift they got from holding England to a draw at Wembley, I think they're going out tonight. Croatia have not had a good run so far, but they have a lot of experience in the squad that will find ways past Scotland and record their first win. I just can't see the likes of Modric and Perrisic going out with a whimper.

Scotland are also now without Gilmour, arguably their best player and will lose even more creativity in front of goal. So:

- Croatia to win
- Over 2.5 yellow cards

Best of luck and fuck off :thumbs:tldr

Malcolm Tucker
22-06-2021, 14:15
just put 5000 danish kronkos on Croatia to win idiot

Malcolm Tucker
23-06-2021, 09:29
Croatia smash it, with Modric and Perisic indeed the ones to send the Scotch home. Sadly the card bet was short by one yellow.

Malcolm Tucker
23-06-2021, 16:08
Last group games and it's looking interesting, no game left has anyone already eliminated, so every fixture has a team who will need to press and open up.

Slovakia v Spain
Spain need a win. Simple as that. In what should have been a relatively straightforward group to progress from has turned into genuine possibility of crashing out. However, like Croatia did, they'll put in the performance tonight. There isn't much value in a straight win for Spain, as they're clear favourites despite drawing in low scoring matches before this. Instead I'd go for a Spain with over 1.5 match goals. Meaning it needs to be at least 2 nil to Spain, or 2-1, 3-0 etc.

Sweden v Poland
Interesting one here, Sweden are already through but Poland need a win, nothing else will keep them in contention and I do think they'll just nick it. Either Poland to win or if you want shorter but safer odds do DNB or DC on Poland/draw.

Germany vs Hungary
I'm going to stick my neck out on this one, it's a longshot, but I think Hungary could pull off an upset. Germany are without Muller and I'm not fully convinced they're reborn just yet. Keep your stake Low (lol) on this one as you should be getting 13-16 odds on a Hungary win. A little safer bet is Hungary to score 1+ goals.

Portugal vs France
Let's keep this one simple. Jota to have 1+ shots on target and Mbappe to score. France are already through but I cannot see them holding anything back tonight either. Topping the group means they'll face a third ranked team, which they must fancy.

Best of luck and fuck off.

Malcolm Tucker
25-06-2021, 16:03
Spain smashed it and Hungary looked like they may pull off that upset, not a bad shout but just wasn't quite to be, same with Poland, pegged them back for a draw but got owned last minute. :dolefrog:

Last 16 should be easier to tip as long as you avoid some pitfalls

Wales vs Denmark
I'll be rooting for Wales but, objectively, I just can't see it. Bale, James and Ramsey carry the entire team and despite an impressive group stage, I think this is the end of the road. However, remember these are the knockouts now so it's ET and penalties, Wales will go for a draw in 90 mins if it's anywhere within reach for them so there's really good odds on Denmark to win in 90, I think the bookies know something, sportsbook riding a little higher than the exchange. Usually means a stat is indicating slightly higher chance that Denmark won't get the job done in the 90 and will make the kill in ET or during the shootout. So a safer bet is Denmark to go through to the next round, this settles no matter the method of victory. Add in 1.5 match goals to get some value.

Italy vs Austria
Skip it on its own. Italy have excelled so far and it'd be a huge shock for Austria to derail them. There's no value bets I can see, maybe Italy to win to nil but I hate that market, one silly OG or unfair penalty goal in an otherwise dominant performance does you in.

Instead combine Italy for a double, Denmark and Italy to both qualify. I can get 1.7 which I think is just about worth it for two relatively solid bets.

So either one or both of those selections is my choice. Stfu and good luck.

Malcolm Tucker
26-06-2021, 20:49
Denmark to go through to the next round, this settles no matter the method of victory. Add in 1.5 match goals
Done, easily in the end.

On the double just need Italy to do the business on Austria for a clean sweep.

Malcolm Tucker
26-06-2021, 22:34
:ddsniggerjig:

pies
02-07-2021, 21:49
I had Sterling Kane score against Germany 10/1 ?3 on paid for me bets of tournament, and won super 6 euros I am ?5 entry ?50 1st place, won by 2 point

Malcolm Tucker
03-07-2021, 09:22
Nice one, I play super6 as well, feels more likely to win than lottery and totally free, closest I came was last season, 21 points

do you do itv7 as well? also free, much longer odds on that as you need to basically get 6-7 horses right in a row to have any chance but people do win it. Only issue is remembering to do it as it runs every few days ffs

yourmum
08-07-2021, 09:38
I had a tenner on itally to win outright from day 1. I reckon i am getting paid. England needed an own goal and a non penalty to beat a team whose best player is banged up in hospital.

Italy will tear those cunts a new one then give them a real lesson in how to park the bus.

Moses
08-07-2021, 13:48
Put a load of free bets on slabhead to have a headed shot on target at 9/2. ?16 so ?72 PROFIT.

Have money on Kane to win the golden boot (from before the tournament started). One goal takes him level with Ronaldo and Schick... but Ronaldo has an assist which is a tiebreaker. So need Kane to score twice or one goal and one assist (only ?10 at 5/1, but also get a ?3 free bet every time he scores).

Malcolm Tucker
08-07-2021, 18:30
:yes: Golden boot could land for Kane. I mean, England could go all the way and win but the problem is they were so well backed even at the start I don't think they've ever been a good price. Clearly they're still favourites but I think neutrals will see Italy as more likely winners.

Easy money though is away from Europe. Copa d America final. Neymar to get carded.

yourmum
12-07-2021, 01:09
easiest 90 quid I ever made. England show again just how dog shit they are. Southgate thinks he can defend his way to victory, useless horse toothed cunt.

Malcolm Tucker
13-07-2021, 20:26
Tbf we played quite well, I don't blame the players really. First half was just perfect, I loved everything about it. The early goal, the wig, the catchphrase. Brilliant. Our back 3, top drawer. Phillips and Rice were superb as well. The only one I thought looked a little lost was Mount.

But yeah, second half the game flipped around, they'd rejigged their setup and were on the front foot. SG was reluctant to change strategy as well. One change with Saka. Not enough. Not against this Italy side. They were making changes left and right, impactful changes. Grealish should have been on earlier, or Foden etc etc. Wasted bench. Rice for Henderson ffs. Henderson is another holding player, you put him on to lock in a lead, not to chase one. Yeah he got a goal against Ukraine, well whoopee shit, first ever and probably last as well. One free header against a blown out team does not an attacking midfielder make. Some said Rice took a knock and/or was fucked, ok, so bring on Foden then, or Sancho or even Bellingham. Someone with pace who will keep causing the same problems Rice was causing.

Then he held off, into ET, to the point we almost didn't even have time to actually use all our subs. First kick of the ball for Rashford and Sancho was their penalty. Madness. Far, far too late. We could have nicked it in second half of ET if we'd gone for it earlier rather than just hold out and stack the forwards on simply for spot kicks. At one point we had Kane, Sterling, Rashford, Sancho, Saka and Grealish on all at once. 3 of them with fresh legs. That's the fucking thing of nightmares but they were on for literally 45 seconds. If that had been 5 minutes, who knows. Maybe a counter would have done us, but I dunno, their main threat had hobbled off, they seemed done. It was worth the risk. If you don't go for it in the second half of extra time in the fucking final, you never, ever, will.

So gutting because sometimes when England get knocked out and you see the final games you always think 'Well, we wouldn't have beat these anyway' but with that, we could have won it, it was ours for the taking but he just couldn't bring himself to risk 5-10 minutes of all out attack for it. :dolefrog:

Oswald
13-07-2021, 20:49
southgate put on the 3 black players at the last moment because he wanted diversity to win

pies
25-07-2021, 20:58
had Italy and England win the euros before it kicked off

https://i.imgur.com/lR9ff7b.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/FFAusRY.jpg

Let it run, didnt cash out and got more from Italy winning at 9/1 :dolefrog:

Had Kane goldenboot was hoping for 2 goals in final but didnt come off

Dropped ?2 on England beat Ukraine 4-0 and Kane score 1st :loool: nice cheeky win oi oi

https://i.imgur.com/1y7tz4x.jpg

Won Euro2020 super6 league I was in and that was ?45 profit, basically I paid for all me beers in pubs during Euros :thumbs: from betting

pies
01-08-2021, 02:16
are you a geeky 8 stone bot?

Tbf we played quite well, I don't blame the players really. First half was just perfect, I loved everything about it. The early goal, the wig, the catchphrase. Brilliant. Our back 3, top drawer. Phillips and Rice were superb as well. The only one I thought looked a little lost was Mount.

But yeah, second half the game flipped around, they'd rejigged their setup and were on the front foot. SG was reluctant to change strategy as well. One change with Saka. Not enough. Not against this Italy side. They were making changes left and right, impactful changes. Grealish should have been on earlier, or Foden etc etc. Wasted bench. Rice for Henderson ffs. Henderson is another holding player, you put him on to lock in a lead, not to chase one. Yeah he got a goal against Ukraine, well whoopee shit, first ever and probably last as well. One free header against a blown out team does not an attacking midfielder make. Some said Rice took a knock and/or was fucked, ok, so bring on Foden then, or Sancho or even Bellingham. Someone with pace who will keep causing the same problems Rice was causing.

Then he held off, into ET, to the point we almost didn't even have time to actually use all our subs. First kick of the ball for Rashford and Sancho was their penalty. Madness. Far, far too late. We could have nicked it in second half of ET if we'd gone for it earlier rather than just hold out and stack the forwards on simply for spot kicks. At one point we had Kane, Sterling, Rashford, Sancho, Saka and Grealish on all at once. 3 of them with fresh legs. That's the fucking thing of nightmares but they were on for literally 45 seconds. If that had been 5 minutes, who knows. Maybe a counter would have done us, but I dunno, their main threat had hobbled off, they seemed done. It was worth the risk. If you don't go for it in the second half of extra time in the fucking final, you never, ever, will.

So gutting because sometimes when England get knocked out and you see the final games you always think 'Well, we wouldn't have beat these anyway' but with that, we could have won it, it was ours for the taking but he just couldn't bring himself to risk 5-10 minutes of all out attack for it. :dolefrog:

:loool:

Malcolm Tucker
01-08-2021, 10:55
bet you dont disagree though