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Old 16-03-2018, 16:32   #1
Enoch Powell
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-tyne-43432662

Jailed purely on the basis of a DNA match. I wonder if we'll find in future that this isn't quite the 'billion to one' probability they think it is,.
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Old 16-03-2018, 16:55   #2
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DNA match is pretty accurate IIRC, 99.98% I think? Which is "beyond reasonable doubt" so as far as a court and stuff is concerned it may as well be 100%

I read someone saying it meant that for every 1000 DNA led convictions, 1 was in the 0.02% and was not guilty, but don't fink stats werk like dat
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Old 16-03-2018, 17:09   #3
Enoch Powell
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That's my point - how accurate is it really I wonder. If something sounds too good to be true

Basically if he had been innocent, he was fucked.
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Old 16-03-2018, 17:21   #4
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I don't think any test could ever truly be 100% but even home DNA based kits are over 99% accurate, and police forensics is probably above average in terms of testing as well.

By the sounds of what kind of test it'd be, it's very unlikely it wasn't him because it's a comparison of two samples from the same person. Even if there was a really close match but the quality or whatever undermined some of the accuracy, it would mean the only alternative explanation was it was a close blood relative instead. If it was someone completely different, it'd show up very easily.

In terms of a court of law, you're banged to rights, the possibility of it NOT being him now is so small I can't see a defence making a convincing case. His brother is framing him or something?
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Old 16-03-2018, 17:34   #5
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Plus if the odds are a billion to one, the other six probably don't live in that area either...
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Old 16-03-2018, 17:35   #6
Enoch Powell
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Quote:
DNA in the dock: how flawed techniques send innocent people to prison

Many juries believe crime-scene DNA evidence is watertight – but this is far from the case. As forensic technology gets ever more sophisticated, experts are only just realising how difficult interpreting the evidence can be
https://www.theguardian.com/science/...ople-to-prison

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Old 16-03-2018, 17:43   #7
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Would you be this eager to question the guilt of a Muslim paedophile, or is it just white men who attack women who get that luxury?
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