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Old 14-06-2018, 16:03   #3796
Malcolm Tucker
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In he 80s it was all about Japan taking over America, they were the bogeyman. Now it's China.
In the 70s it was all about Indians/Sikhs and Jamaicans overrunning the UK. Now it's all about Muslims and Poles.

We once predicted by 2000 the population would be 8 billion, and in the 50s we even predicted by 2020 we'd have so many people on the planet (10 billion+) we'd not just be living on the moon for pioneering exploration, but as necessity for space. 2 years to go on that prediction, not looking likely.

So when more predictions are wheeled out about what it will be like in 2-3 decades time, you'll forgive me if I take it with a pinch of salt. For one thing most people making these predictions always neglect to mention global fertility has actually fallen off a cliff since the 50s, so as longevity of the boomers tapers off then it's actually indicating that global population is going to correct as well and slow significantly, there's a lead time with these things so we're actually toward the end of the effects of the baby booming generations, subsequent generations are going to dictate more sustainable populations and that's statistical fact unless humans are cloned or delivered from outer-space or the fertility rate suddenly explodes again.
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